Odds, exchanges, records, predictions (updated with betting results)

Originally, Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez was supposed to take part in one of the most anticipated fights of 2022, a third bout against Juan Francisco Estrada at super flyweight. But after Estrada was infected with Covid, it presented a fantastic opportunity for the best fighter in a division below at flyweight. Now boxing fans will have a riveting fight between Martinez, who is on my top 15 pound-for-pound fighters list, and Gonzalez, the former world No. Here’s everything you need to know about Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez vs. Julio Cesar Martinez, including the odds, their best times and a prediction on who will win.

First off, we’re not sure if this fight will actually happen on Saturday night. That’s because Martinez was 1.4 pounds off the contract weight of 115 pounds on Friday. Which means he will have to be weighed in again on Saturday.

Assuming this fight happens, however, it should be fun (although Martinez will have 20% of his purse cut for missing weight; half of that fine will go to Gonzalez).

Gonzalez is coming off a tough loss to Estrada a year ago that many, including me, thought he actually won. But the judges got it for Estrada via split decision. Despite the loss, Gonzalez’s performance in one of the best fights of the year showed that although he is 34 years old (absolutely old by the standards of the lower weight class), he is still a fighter of first order.

But is he still good enough to hold off a young and impressive (and heavier) Martinez?

“My team said Martinez was ready and that was it,” Gonzalez said, via RingTV.com. “Like I said before, he’s a good fighter. It has its own distinctive qualities and we have to be ready for March 5.

“As always, it’s going to be a good fight. I’m gonna go ahead, do what I always do, and we’ll see what happens when the bell rings. We prepared the same; everything will be the same. The only thing is, right now, we’re just waiting. We are waiting for this moment, the day of the fight, to enter this ring.

Meanwhile, Martinez said he knew exactly who he was up against.

“We know we’re not going to face an easy opponent,” Martinez said, via DAZN. “We know we are going against a big idol. If we have never underestimated any opponent, he will be even less so this time. We’re going to prepare not a thousand but a million to leave everything in the ring… it’s going to be war. We will not disappoint.

Here’s hoping the fight actually happens, and we can see exactly what Martinez plans to leave in the ring.

Here’s more information on the Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez vs. Julio Cesar Martinez showdown that US viewers can watch on DAZN starting at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez vs. Julio Cesar Martinez Odds

Despite the weigh-in accident, the odds remained stable. As of this writing, Gonzalez is a -150 favorite (bet $150 to win $100) while Martinez was the +120 underdog (win $120 on a $100 bet). I’m leaning slightly towards Gonzalez for the win, so you can bet the money line or you can go with him winning by stoppage (+210) or decision (+240) for more value. Personally, I like this last prop bet a little more.

Handbags Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez vs. Julio Cesar Martinez

According to boxing journalist Dan Rafael, here’s how much Gonzalez and Martinez will earn.

It’s a great payday for Gonzalez and Martinez (for comparison, that’s more than Gonzalez earned for the first ($550,000) and second ($600,000) Sor Rungvisai fights, and so on. is more than Martinez made when he won his flyweight title against Rosales ($100,000).

Records of Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez vs. Julio Cesar Martinez

Gonzalez is undoubtedly a Hall of Famer in the first round, and he is one of the best lightweight fighters in history. At 50-3 (41 KOs) he beat Juan Francisco Estrada, Brian Viloria and Carlos Cuadras, and although he lost twice to Srisaket Sor Rungvisai, leading some to wonder how much Gonzalez had left, he followed through. this by blasting Khalid Yafai in 2020 to win another 115-pound title. Simply put, Gonzalez is a legend.

Martinez had great success at 112 and 115 pounds, beating Edgar Sosa in Martinez, Cristofer Rosales and Andrew Selby’s seventh pro fight. After losing his pro debut, Martinez (18-1, 14 KOs) has won 18 in a row. He’s never faced anyone with Gonzalez’s talent, but there’s a reason Martinez isn’t exactly an underdog.

Roman ‘Chocolatito’ Gonzalez vs. Julio Cesar Martinez Prediction

There are two ways to look at Martinez’s missing weight at this point. Either he didn’t have enough time to prepare (remember he’s the replacement fighter) and didn’t get into optimal shape, or he wanted to be even bigger and stronger than Gonzalez and try to dominate him that way. We don’t know the answer to this question, but I would steer towards the first choice. That’s why I’m picking Gonzalez to win by unanimous decision. Somewhere in the 116-112 range.

UPDATE: Gonzalez looked absolutely phenomenal in dismantling Martinez. Credit Martinez for his tenacity, but Gonzalez won by wide decision (the judges had it 118-110, 117-111, 116-112 (and I had it 118-110)). So if Gonzalez made a house call, you would win $240 on a $100 bet.

David C. Barham